mardi 22 avril 2008

Swing trading

Swing trading is one of the best ways to make money in forex trading, it's also a lot easier psychologically than trend following.It's therefore a great way to trade for novice traders. Over the last few weeks we have looked at some live examples:Banked 4 profits, scratched one trade at break even and have one open. Let's look at it and another potential opportunity.First why is swing trading an easy way to trade?When we say is easy, we mean psychologically.You get in quick with low pre defined risk and you're normally out in 2 - 5 days with a good profit.This is much easier than long term trend following, in that you do not have to wait for months and see dips eat into your open profit.Long term trend following is highly profitable but requires a lot more discipline.We personally mix the two ways of trading to gain some diversification of style and smooth the equity curve.Swing trading basicsWe normally look for important chart support and resistance and trade contrary to it.We wait for prices to test these areas and watch for stochastic momentum to fall against resistance or rise against support.Then we know the level has held and trade off it.We also use RSI and Bollinger bands to define targets and that's it.Nice ands simple, but can be very profitable you can read more about this method in our other articles.British PoundWe are short at recent nearby highs and would look for a pop to the downside to Fridays low or near the middle of the Bollinger band.Stochastic is weak at present and odds favor a bit more to the downside.With swing trading you don't want to hang around to long, get out on specific target and that's very close now.Another opportunityLets look at another potential opportunity that's could be shaping up. The euro is trading near its highs and the spike high on the chart is resistance. Stochastic momentum is waning and a cross with bearish divergence will put the odds in favor of the bears.The important point is to wait for confirmation of the crossover - the target is then Fridays low just above the middle of the center of the Bollinger band.FinallyThe tools used swing trade are simple and easy to use, but that doesn't mean they can't make profits as we have shown.Importantly, for novice traders the discipline needed to trade this way is a lot easier.If you practice a bit and learn to spot the set ups you will soon be able to spot some great low risk high reward trades - Good Luck

Unique Commodity Trading

Surviving the rough times to be present for the big moves is the name of the game in commodity trading. With some luck we can even break even while the other participants are getting chopped to pieces. It requires giving up something to get something else. Learn how a few of the big hits can be avoided for a small price. Read about ways to participate in the long haul moves while still sleeping well at night.Let's say our forecast makes us bullish on the market. We want to check out the possibility of buying a future contract and hedging it by buying a put option. There will always be a choice here - either buying an option spread (as in the previous example) or buying a future with an option hedge. One method will always be better than the other. We need to determine this to get our strategy edge on the market. Much depends on the option premiums. Again, this is where it's handy to have an automated option evaluation program.Now we can get creative and more flexible. Let's say you have faith in your forecast that the market is going to rally within 2 - 3 weeks. If it doesn't happen by then, then the trade is suspect. Let's buy a futures contract and also buy a put option as close to the current market price as possible. Hopefully we pay a reasonable price for the put option. The closer you buy it, the less loss and risk if the futures contract declines sharply against you. However, the option premium will be higher too.The put option becomes a synthetic stop loss order for the futures contract. You will lose until the market hits that option strike price and then no matter how far the market drops, the futures contract loss is fixed and limited. Now here's the trick and edge...Select an option with only a small amount of time, like 30 days or so. The option will cost less because of having a short time remaining. If your future contract moves up within 2-3 weeks as you expect, the put option will lose its value quickly and expire within 30 days anyway. The option is the sacrificial lamb that has done its job for a few weeks and then dies. It has protected you against the big potential hit. We dodged the ball. Now it's up to the futures contract. That's where the profit will come from, if the trade is destined to work out.Once the futures contract gets far away from your entry point under the initial protection of the option, you can then move up the future's stop loss order to break-even. A new option could always be bought later if desired to synthetically lock in some profits. However, this is option overuse and the premiums start to catch up with you. We must take on risk or the market will not pay us. We become parasites if we hedge too much, add no liquidity or load risk onto others. In this example we economically used an option to lay off large risk at a critical time. After that brief, partially-hedged window, we again assumed the risk. There are other ways to do this, but beyond the scope of this article. More later.So far we have discussed entry techniques and ways to lower our risk at critical times when our exposure is the greatest. Remember that we are trying NOT to get hit by the dodge-ball and are happy making singles and doubles. Let the newbies swing for the fences and strike out 90% of the time. The idea here is survival until we identify a big market forecast and the move starts. That's the only time to swing for the fences. You want to play it conservative 90% of the time and swing hard 10% at most. To do otherwise is the road to consistent losses. Trade like a guerrilla warfare fighter. Survival first, shoot at our own time and place...sparingly. Let the others line themselves up and face off to their heart's desire. In another article we will discuss methods of using futures and options for synthetic exit strategies. This will include option granting, and futures hedging of options. Good Trading!

Forex For The Future

A non-geographical, existential market, the foreign exchange market exists wherever one currency is traded for another. Far and above the largest market in the world, the $2 billion traded every day includes trading between large banks, individual investors, corporations, governments and various other institutions.Established in 1971, Forex trading has only recently become an individually traded market. Until the present time, only major institutions could trade on this market. Retail traders are currently a small, but constantly growing, part of the Forex.Ten years ago, the Wall Street Journal estimated the daily trading volume in the forex market to be in excess of $1 trillion. Today that figure has grown to exceed $1.8 trillion a day. Based on the Bretton Woods Agreement of 1945 aimed to stabilize international currencies and prevent money fleeing across nations, the U.S. dollar became fixed at a rate of $35 per ounce of gold.Thus, the gold standard was formed and Forex trading became a possibility. But only in 1971, when the Bretton Woods Agreement was abandoned, was the Forex market established. By 1973, major currencies became free to the push of supply and demand. The power of speculators came to be.With the advent of technological innovations like computers in the 1980's, money was soon able to be traded across time zones. Within minutes, like never before, massive amounts of currency could be exchanged. Today, London holds the world's largest international financial center and the major site for Forex trading.The interbank market is beneficial for both the major commercial turnovers and large amounts of purely speculative trading that takes place on an everyday basis. Some large banks trade billions of dollars daily. While some of that trading is on behalf of the bank's customers, much is for the bank's own account. Until recently, brokers on the market did most of the business of trading for a small fee, but now individual investor's can jump in on their own.The benefits of individual investors gaining hands-on access to Forex trading really came to be when the large inter-bank units began to offer small traders the opportunity to buy or sell smaller units (or lots) on their own.At present, the Forex market is appealing because of its massive trading volume, extreme liquidity, the number and variety of traders in the market, long trading hours, factors that affect the currency exchange rates and the geographical dispersion of the market.Between April 2005 and April 2006, Forex trading increase by 38 percent and has more than doubled since 2001. This can be attributed to the increasing importance of foreign currency exchange as an asset and an increase in fund management assets. Also, the vast array of execution venues, like Internet trading platforms, has also made it easier for retail traders to trade.In May 2006, a European exchange survey company found the top 10 investors in the Forex market were mostly American banks such as Bank of American and JP Morgan Chase, as well as international investors like Deutsch Bank and Barclays Capital.Trading on the foreign exchange market is up and coming A non-geographical, existential market, the foreign exchange market exists wherever one currency is traded for another. Far and above the largest market in the world, the $2 billion traded every day includes trading between large banks, individual investors, corporations, governments and various other institutions.Established in 1971, Forex trading has only recently become an individually traded market. Until the present time, only major institutions could trade on this market. Retail traders are currently a small, but constantly growing, part of the Forex.Ten years ago, the Wall Street Journal estimated the daily trading volume in the forex market to be in excess of $1 trillion. Today that figure has grown to exceed $1.8 trillion a day. Based on the Bretton Woods Agreement of 1945 aimed to stabilize international currencies and prevent money fleeing across nations, the U.S. dollar became fixed at a rate of $35 per ounce of gold.Thus, the gold standard was formed and Forex trading became a possibility. But only in 1971, when the Bretton Woods Agreement was abandoned, was the Forex market established. By 1973, major currencies became free to the push of supply and demand. The power of speculators came to be.With the advent of technological innovations like computers in the 1980's, money was soon able to be traded across time zones. Within minutes, like never before, massive amounts of currency could be exchanged. Today, London holds the world's largest international financial center and the major site for Forex trading.The interbank market is beneficial for both the major commercial turnovers and large amounts of purely speculative trading that takes place on an everyday basis. Some large banks trade billions of dollars daily. While some of that trading is on behalf of the bank's customers, much is for the bank's own account. Until recently, brokers on the market did most of the business of trading for a small fee, but now individual investor's can jump in on their own.The benefits of individual investors gaining hands-on access to Forex trading really came to be when the large inter-bank units began to offer small traders the opportunity to buy or sell smaller units (or lots) on their own.At present, the Forex market is appealing because of its massive trading volume, extreme liquidity, the number and variety of traders in the market, long trading hours, factors that affect the currency exchange rates and the geographical dispersion of the market.Between April 2005 and April 2006, Forex trading increase by 38 percent and has more than doubled since 2001. This can be attributed to the increasing importance of foreign currency exchange as an asset and an increase in fund management assets. Also, the vast array of execution venues, like Internet trading platforms, has also made it easier for retail traders to trade.In May 2006, a European exchange survey company found the top 10 investors in the Forex market were mostly American banks such as Bank of American and JP Morgan Chase, as well as international investors like Deutsch Bank and Barclays Capital.Trading on the foreign exchange market is up and coming

Forex Day Trading

Are you interested in automated forex day trading? There are many things that you should know about automated forex trading, and this is a great place to learn about it. The idea of automated forex day trading is recently getting more and more popular. Futures exchange was the first to adopt this system and later on, the FX market followed suit and employed automated forex day trading.- EfficiencyThis system is very efficient and successful because of its capability to carry out a deal or a trade - real time. This means that there are no lags and fewer complications when trading and these results to more income generated. Achieving this level of efficiency is very hard to do by manual means especially if the decision to trade or not to trade can only be done in a time window of a few seconds. There are even instances wherein the window of opportunity is just a few milliseconds! There are instances wherein the trader is not in his desk and the opportunity suddenly presents itself, while sometimes a trader will skip deals for a while if he recently came from losing deals. These factors are eliminated by an automated system.- VersatilityAn automated system allows you to trade in diverse fields. It makes it possible for you to trade in varying markets as well as an array of time zones. Many trading models can be used by the trader since the system will be the one managing each trading model. Short term data can be analyzed by the system and this provides you with an advantage since you can use the data analyzed for making decisions based on what is currently happening in the market. Analyzing where the market will go in the next 15 or so minutes is impossible without using an automated forex trading system.- Improved liquidityLiquidity is greatly improved by the use of automated trading systems. This can be deduced by observing the behavior of the futures exchange market after employing an automated forex trading system.- SetbackTraders are foreseeing that a problem may arise when the time comes that all traders will adopt the automated system. The volume of orders may be so great that the existing bandwidth as well as current equipment used may not be able to accommodate this influx of information in real time. Existing systems might be able to carry the load and crash which will result to chaos in the market. As of now, safety controls have been created and set in place to prevent this scenario from happening.- Risk ManagementAnother big issue that concerns forex traders is risk management. Even automated forex trading systems require a risk management tool to ensure that there are no errors while trading. Risk management tools requires that before opening a position, checks should be conducted to ensure that no excessive correlation is present in already existing positions. To be 100% sure that the check is accurate and free of error, the whole system must first be synchronized. But as the technology used in forex trading progresses and evolves, these will no longer be issues to be concerned about.There are even instances wherein the window of opportunity is just a few milliseconds! There are instances wherein the trader is not in his desk and the opportunity suddenly presents itself, while sometimes a trader will skip deals for a while if he recently came from losing deals. These factors are eliminated by an automated system.These are some of the things that you should know about automated forex day trading. The information provided here will give you a better grasp and knowledge about this topic. Hopefully this will be helpful when you are deciding to try this kind of business.

Forex - You Need A Real System!

Although it has been some years since I was actively involved in trading, I have just returned to the markets and have begun to trade a small account on my own behalf. This has perhaps given me a slightly skewed perspective of the markets, almost like a new entrant, but one with a lot of experience.There have been some big changes whilst I have been inactive, not least in the number of online brokerages fighting for every dollar.But many things stay the same, at the heart of which is one, I guess, unbreakable truth. Trading is basically a very simple business, with any trading stocks, options, FOREX, whatever only really involving three steps:1. Find several possible trades evaluate them and decide which to go for,2. Calculate how much to trade, and decide at what points to enter and exit the market3. Keeping an eye on, or monitoring, open market positionsNow, these three steps were basically all there was to it a few years ago, and they still And, guess what, people are still getting totally bogged down right here, at this early stage of the trading process, generally, for one of two reasons.The first possible reason is that they simply are not aware that these are the steps involved in the trading process, or (the second reason) they have no clearly defined rules for actioning these steps. Thus, less experienced, more nervous, traders can often take hours to evaluate a small number of potential trades.Experienced day traders, on the other hand, are fully aware that, with little time available to execute their trading, they must have a process plan and they must stick to it.A day trader will set out his (or her) plan of action something like this:1. Recognize the opportunity, enter the market2. Stay in the trade for as long as possible if it is going for him or3. Get the heck out of there with minimum losses, as soon as it is clear it is going to go the wrong wayThat s it! That s essentially what a day trader in any market was doing years ago, and that is what a day trader is still doing today, with little or no change to their working practices brought about by the vastly more advanced technology of today.Savvy day traders learn very quickly that they must plan ahead of time, so that they are in prime position to take full advantages of the opportunities that occur in real time.Thus, day trading, which on paper at least is a pretty dangerous and risky manner of working markets is, in fact, one of the most disciplined trading schools! By the nature of market movements and the way they operate, day traders simply cannot afford to run their trading business on a wing and a prayer!Although it has been some years since I was actively involved in trading, I have just returned to the markets and have begun to trade a small account on my own behalf. This has perhaps given me a slightly skewed perspective of the markets, almost like a new entrant, but one with a lot of experience.There have been some big changes whilst I have been inactive, not least in the number of online brokerages fighting for every dollar.But many things stay the same, at the heart of which is one, I guess, unbreakable truth. Trading is basically a very simple business, with any trading stocks, options, FOREX, whatever only really involving three steps:1. Find several possible trades evaluate them and decide which to go for,2. Calculate how much to trade, and decide at what points to enter and exit the market3. Keeping an eye on, or monitoring, open market positionsNow, these three steps were basically all there was to it a few years ago, and they still And, guess what, people are still getting totally bogged down right here, at this early stage of the trading process, generally, for one of two reasons.The first possible reason is that they simply are not aware that these are the steps involved in the trading process, or (the second reason) they have no clearly defined rules for actioning these steps. Thus, less experienced, more nervous, traders can often take hours to evaluate a small number of potential trades.Experienced day traders, on the other hand, are fully aware that, with little time available to execute their trading, they must have a process plan and they must stick to it.A day trader will set out his (or her) plan of action something like this:1. Recognize the opportunity, enter the market2. Stay in the trade for as long as possible if it is going for him or3. Get the heck out of there with minimum losses, as soon as it is clear it is going to go the wrong wayThat s it! That s essentially what a day trader in any market was doing years ago, and that is what a day trader is still doing today, with little or no change to their working practices brought about by the vastly more advanced technology of today.Savvy day traders learn very quickly that they must plan ahead of time, so that they are in prime position to take full advantages of the opportunities that occur in real time.Thus, day trading, which on paper at least is a pretty dangerous and risky manner of working markets is, in fact, one of the most disciplined trading schools! By the nature of market movements and the way they operate, day traders simply cannot afford to run their trading business on a wing and a prayer!

Online Forex brokers

Online Forex brokers are known to be a required evil if you are going to trade in currency. There are also those people who are eligible to trade without outside assistance, but for the normal trader, enforcing to trade on the Online Forex market with no broker is like trying to chase a grizzly bear with a soup spoon. Your chances of achievement are actually very low, and there is a distinct option you would get hurt quite badly. Of course choosing the incorrect forex broker might return results same as to the sick fated bear hunt. That is why it is significant that you select a broker in the right way.First thing to be considered is to be sure that the broker you choose has the proper qualifications. When you look at the brokerage firms in the United States, immediately exclude those that are not registered as a Futures Commission Merchant (FCM) with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC). This is again important as this designation means that you are confined against scam and any possible abusive forex trading practices. Covering your personal security before a forex trade has been made is a high-quality way to wade gradually into the forex currency market.Once you have removed the ones who do not have the required qualifications, and now have a short list of potential, the internet comes into picture. Just don't go with the brokerage firm, which has the best profitable, or gets the most excellent "Law and Order" individuality to assist in the following advertising, research your choices. A superior idea is to send some effective emails to your customer service people. Estimate how long it takes them to get in touch to you. This is, after all, a customer examine ambitious profession.Once you are pleased with a firm's experience and customer service practices, its time to get down to your self-assurance tacks. Online forex trading speed is forever an issue, so find out how fast it takes your own potential online forex broker to carry out an order. Also, you would desire to know how much slippage could be expected. This needs information, which could be discovered in a phone call, or any email to customer service. You would desire these answers not only for regular markets, but for fast moving ones as well.Online Forex brokers are known to be a required evil if you are going to trade in currency. There are also those people who are eligible to trade without outside assistance, but for the normal trader, enforcing to trade on the Online Forex market with no broker is like trying to chase a grizzly bear with a soup spoon. Your chances of achievement are actually very low, and there is a distinct option you would get hurt quite badly. Of course choosing the incorrect forex broker might return results same as to the sick fated bear hunt. That is why it is significant that you select a broker in the right way.First thing to be considered is to be sure that the broker you choose has the proper qualifications. When you look at the brokerage firms in the United States, immediately exclude those that are not registered as a Futures Commission Merchant (FCM) with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC). This is again important as this designation means that you are confined against scam and any possible abusive forex trading practices. Covering your personal security before a forex trade has been made is a high-quality way to wade gradually into the forex currency market.Once you have removed the ones who do not have the required qualifications, and now have a short list of potential, the internet comes into picture. Just don't go with the brokerage firm, which has the best profitable, or gets the most excellent "Law and Order" individuality to assist in the following advertising, research your choices. A superior idea is to send some effective emails to your customer service people. Estimate how long it takes them to get in touch to you. This is, after all, a customer examine ambitious profession.Once you are pleased with a firm's experience and customer service practices, its time to get down to your self-assurance tacks. Online forex trading speed is forever an issue, so find out how fast it takes your own potential online forex broker to carry out an order. Also, you would desire to know how much slippage could be expected. This needs information, which could be discovered in a phone call, or any email to customer service. You would desire these answers not only for regular markets, but for fast moving ones as well.

New Forex Broker

Today I am introducing a new Forex broker that allows e-gold deposits (not only, also PayPal, Western Union, credit card and Wire Transfer) - Ava FX. It doesn't support Metatrader platform but it provides traders with its own platform that is claimed to be very easy to use. Good thing about this broker is that it offers bonus on client's deposits - $50 on $100 deposit, $100 on $,1000 and $200 on $10,000.

Payroll employment

Payroll employment is a measure of the number of people being paid as employees by non-farm business establishments and units of government. Monthly changes in payroll employment reflect the net number of new jobs created or lost during the month and changes are widely followed as an important indicator of economic activity.Payroll employment is one of the primary monthly indicators of aggregate economic activity because it encompasses every major sector of the economy. It is also useful to examine trends in job creation in several industry categories because the aggregate data can mask significant deviations in underlying industry trends.Large increases in payroll employment are seen as signs of strong economic activity that could eventually lead to higher interest rates that are supportive of the currency at least in the short term. If, however, inflationary pressures are seen as building, this may undermine the longer term confidence in the currency.

The Benefits of Free Online Stock Trading

There are loads of websites that will let you sign up free of charge; and will also allow you to then indulge in free online stock trading. Of course, you have to pay for the shares that you purchase, but the stock trading resources and tools that the website provides you with are free.Before you jump into the crazy world of online stock trading, you should be aware of the risks you will be taking, so you can have a plan for every possible outcome. For instance, what if the stock you have invested in plummets or skyrockets? When do you buy more and when do you sell? What if you can't buy more stocks because you don't have the money? All these questions need to be answered, which is why you need to have an overall plan and an overarching strategy to apply to all of your decisions.Some people see stock trading as a gamble; and this may even be true in certain respects. But this gamble is only used by businessmen and women; they are the best in the business and they know when to buy and when to sell. Of course, you might not be that kind of stock trader; you may not have a vast amount of experience, so how can you make this kind of gamble successful?A number of free online stock trading companies have information on their websites that can give you vital information when taking part in online stock trading; and it is this kind of information that will separate the winners from the losers in the online stock trading world. Any information that you can get your hands on as a beginner in the stock market world will help you to formulate an overall strategy.Being part of the online stock-trading world can be dangerous and risky. But if you are fully prepared, then you will not have a problem and you will be able to conquer any obstacle that may get in your way.

Online currency trading is all done through the Foreign Exchange or FOREX

Online currency trading is all done through the Foreign Exchange or FOREX. It is the largest market in the world with about $1.9 trillion going into different hands everyday. Unlike all other financial markets on the planet, FOREX doesn't actually have an actual physical location. That is because it is all done on the Internet and through banks with individuals trading their local currency for another. Or, if they have come back from a different country, then they might be changing from that currency into their home currency. Because FOREX is all based on the Internet, you can use online currency trading services to work within the market 24 hours a day.But to be able to use the FOREX service, you have to sign yourself up to one of the many companies that offer FOREX trading accounts to customers. You can open an account with any one of the hundreds of companies available; and then immediately begin trading currencies. You will not want to use this service if you only exchange currency once a year, as you can do that at your local bank. Although this choice of account is available, large corporations mostly use online currency trading and they are the ones that will use this service the most.Also, on these online currency trading websites, you will get up to minute exchange rates from all over the world, so you will know the exact amount that you will get from your money. This also enables you to know the best time to use the online currency trading services. When the rates are just right for you, then that is when you can exchange your money.However, it is important to note that some currency trading companies will need two days advance notice before you withdraw your money, so it is always wise to plan ahead if your goal is to make money with FOREX trading then use that money to pay bills or to pay for living expenses.